Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 25, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Aziz Dougaz		Tuncay Duran

	1	2
	1.36	2.80
	1.40	2.75
	1.39	3.06
	1.35	2.9	Watch
	1.37	3
	1.37	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	2.89 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
67.8%

Tuncay Duran
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aziz Dougaz's performance.

Tuncay Duran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuncay Duran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aziz Dougaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuncay Duran than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuncay Duran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aziz Dougaz - Tuncay Duran Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 828. Duran is ranked ATP: 722.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Dougaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Dougaz is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dougaz won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Aziz Dougaz - Digvijay Pratap Singh	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Aziz Dougaz - Viktor Markov	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Aziz Dougaz - Nicolas Robert	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Aziz Dougaz - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Clement Chidekh - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Tuncay Duran
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Tuncay Duran - Toufik Sahtali	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Tuncay Duran - Nikita Ianin	2:0 ✺
30.06.26	Tuncay Duran - Mathys Picard	Picard M. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Alexander Donski - Tuncay Duran	2:1 ✺
04.06.26	Alec Beckley - Tuncay Duran	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.06.25	Aziz Dougaz - Tuncay Duran	2:0

Aziz Dougaz - Tuncay Duran: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide