Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon - Qualification, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Community Sports Centre Roehampton (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max


	Aziz Dougaz		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	3	1.36
	2.95	1.36
	3.01	1.37
	3.29	1.39
	2.93	1.38	Watch
	3	1.36
	2.93	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.63)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aziz Dougaz
31.3%

Rei Sakamoto
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aziz Dougaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Aziz Dougaz - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Dougaz will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Dougaz (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dougaz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dougaz is ranked ATP: 755. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 148.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dougaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sakamoto is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Clement Chidekh - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
13.06.26	Raphael Collignon - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Rodrigo Fernandes - Aziz Dougaz	1:2 ✺
04.06.26	Yassine Dlimi - Aziz Dougaz	2:0 ✺
03.06.26	Facundo Yunis - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Rei Sakamoto - Yibing Wu	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.05.26	Alex Molcan - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Rei Sakamoto - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

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