Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Beibit Zhukayev		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.24
	1.64	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
56.1%

Corentin Denolly
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Corentin Denolly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Beibit Zhukayev - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 340. Denolly is ranked ATP: 496.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Denolly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zhukayev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Alejandro Hayen - Beibit Zhukayev	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
01.04.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Dan Martin	2:1 ✺
30.03.26	Robin Catry - Beibit Zhukayev	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL
- Corentin Denolly
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Corentin Denolly - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Corentin Denolly - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
31.03.26	Corentin Denolly - Maxwell McKennon	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Corentin Denolly - Zdenek Kolar	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Eliakim Coulibaly - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW

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