Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

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	Beibit Zhukayev		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.75	2
	1.83	1.94
	1.84	2
	2.01	1.82	Watch
	1.73	2
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 (1.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
51.3%

Jack Pinnington Jones
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Beibit Zhukayev that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jack Pinnington Jones could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Beibit Zhukayev - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhukayev will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pinnington Jones will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pinnington Jones (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 192. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 197.

Zhukayev has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pinnington Jones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Beibit Zhukayev - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Ignacio Buse - Beibit Zhukayev	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Rafael Matos	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWL
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	1:2 ✺
30.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Jakub Nicod	2:0 ✺
29.07.25	Jack Pinnington Jones - Sebastian Gima	2:1 ✺
13.07.25	Kyle Edmund - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Oliver Crawford - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWW

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