Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Beibit Zhukayev		Tristan Schoolkate

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.45	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.79	1.45
	2.80	1.41	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)	1.44 (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beibit Zhukayev
35.1%

Tristan Schoolkate
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beibit Zhukayev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Tristan Schoolkate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beibit Zhukayev than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Zhukayev (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tristan Schoolkate will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zhukayev (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Schoolkate (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhukayev is ranked ATP: 206. Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 97.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Zhukayev may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Schoolkate might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Zhukayev won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Beibit Zhukayev
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2:0 ✺
11.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Rafael Matos	2:0 ✺
06.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Trevor Svajda	0:2 ✺
04.08.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Patrick Maloney	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Colton Smith	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
27.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.04.24	Tristan Schoolkate - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1

Beibit Zhukayev - Tristan Schoolkate: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide