Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Belinda Bencic		Diana Shnaider

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.6	2.35
	1.63	2.5
	1.55	2.46	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.64	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.42)	2.4 ↓ (2.84)

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belinda Bencic
59.9%

Diana Shnaider
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belinda Bencic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Belinda Bencic's form might have worsened.

Diana Shnaider has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diana Shnaider's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belinda Bencic than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	0%	38.5%

Belinda Bencic - Diana Shnaider Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bencic will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Shnaider will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bencic: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shnaider (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Bencic is ranked WTA: 12. Shnaider is ranked WTA: 19.

Bencic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shnaider has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shnaider may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bencic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bencic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belinda Bencic
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Petra Marcinko	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
11.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Belinda Bencic - Marie Bouzkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Madison Keys - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
02.04.26	Sara Bejlek - Belinda Bencic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WL?WW
- Diana Shnaider
WTA Madrid
23.04.26	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Diana Shnaider	1:2 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.26	Elena Rybakina - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Tamara Korpatsch - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
03.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Miami
21.03.26	Diana Shnaider - Belinda Bencic	0:2
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Belinda Bencic - Diana Shnaider	2:0

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