Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Washington, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Colton Smith

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.51	2.7
	1.31	3.29	Watch
	1.53	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.36)	2.82 ↓ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
66.1%

Colton Smith
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 Games - Smith (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Smith (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 86. Smith is ranked ATP: 135.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, McDonald is the team to beat.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	George Loffhagen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Henry Searle - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW
- Colton Smith
ATP Washington
20.07.25	Colton Smith - Tyler Zink	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Colton Smith - Andrew Fenty	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
15.07.25	Colton Smith - Govind Nanda	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
25.06.25	Colton Smith - Yosuke Watanuki	0:2 ✺
23.06.25	Colton Smith - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

Mackenzie McDonald - Colton Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide