Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 June 2025, Monday

Location: All England Club (London)


	Mackenzie McDonald		Karen Khachanov

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.02	1.23	Watch
	4.66	1.22
			Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.26	1.26	Watch
	4.02	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (3.36)	1.23 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
22.8%

Karen Khachanov
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mackenzie McDonald's form might have worsened.

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karen Khachanov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Khachanov will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khachanov: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 2 - 40%). Khachanov (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Khachanov (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Khachanov (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - McDonald (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 43.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. McDonald (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Khachanov (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 90. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 19.

Recent performances by McDonald have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Khachanov is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khachanov is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Eastbourne
21.06.25	George Loffhagen - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP London
18.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
16.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Henry Searle - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
14.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWW
- Karen Khachanov
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.25	Karen Khachanov - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
21.06.25	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
20.06.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
19.06.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Hertogenbosch
11.06.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	1:2
ATP Zhuhai
24.09.23	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1
ATP Doha
14.02.22	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.21	Mackenzie McDonald - Karen Khachanov	1:3
ATP Marseille
10.03.21	Karen Khachanov - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0

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