Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Dalibor Svrcina

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.61	2.5
	1.55	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.64)	2.46 ↑ (2.14)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
61.6%

Dalibor Svrcina
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dalibor Svrcina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalibor Svrcina than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalibor Svrcina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Benjamin Bonzi - Dalibor Svrcina Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Svrcina will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Svrcina: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dalibor Svrcina will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 104. Svrcina is ranked ATP: 127.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Svrcina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bonzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.7%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Titouan Droguet	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL
- Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Challenger
01.05.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.07.21	Dalibor Svrcina - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2

Upcoming Matches