Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday


	Darwin Blanch		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.45	1.47	Watch
	2.3	1.66
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.42	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darwin Blanch
40.5%

Benjamin Bonzi
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darwin Blanch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darwin Blanch than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Darwin Blanch - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Blanch will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bonzi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Blanch is ranked ATP: 246. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 106.

Blanch has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bonzi is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bonzi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darwin Blanch
ATP Challenger
16.04.26	Daniil Glinka - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Yibing Wu - Darwin Blanch	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Hugo Dellien - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Darwin Blanch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Ethan Quinn - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

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