Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.31	1.54	Watch
	2.49	1.59
	2.29	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.36	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.42)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
39.9%

Benjamin Bonzi
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diego Dedura-Palomero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Bonzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Diego Dedura Palomero - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 304. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 104.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dedura-Palomero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonzi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Luca Van Assche - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Flavio Cobolli - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Sumit Nagal	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Diego Dedura-Palomero	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.26	Roman Safiullin - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWL
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Madrid
20.04.26	Darwin Blanch - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
11.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
17.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
16.03.26	Luis Guto Miguel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLW

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