Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona - Qualification, clay - Semi-finalsDate: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Jesper De Jong |
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Benjamin Bonzi |
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- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jesper De Jong
65.3% | Benjamin Bonzi
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benjamin Bonzi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benjamin Bonzi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
Jesper De Jong will win
(14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jesper De Jong will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Preview
De Jong is ranked ATP: 108. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 102.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.De Jong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win. Recently, there has been no match between the players.
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Last Results with these Odds
Jesper De Jong - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 55.29%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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