Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
			Watch
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.98	1.85
	1.96	1.8	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.96	1.86	Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.86)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
48.8%

Jack Pinnington Jones
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jack Pinnington Jones, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Benjamin Bonzi - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Users Predictions: Benjamin Bonzi will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benjamin Bonzi will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 104. Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 136.

In recent matches, Bonzi has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pinnington Jones is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pinnington Jones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
20.02.26	Alexander Blockx - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Justin Engel - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Daniil Glinka - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2 ✺
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWLW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Eliot Spizzirri	2:1 ✺
10.02.26	Flavio Cobolli - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Patrick Kypson - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Daniel Dutra da Silva - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWWW

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