Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau, hard - Final

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Raphael Collignon		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.86
	1.47	2.61	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.54	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.56)	2.55 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raphael Collignon
63.1%

Benjamin Bonzi
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raphael Collignon than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Collignon (votes: 3 - 60%). Bonzi (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collignon is ranked ATP: 69. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 131.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bonzi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collignon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Collignon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raphael Collignon
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Patrick Zahraj	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
08.02.26	Iliyan Radulov - Raphael Collignon	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWW?
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
14.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.02.24	Benjamin Bonzi - Raphael Collignon	1:2

Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide