Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Glinka		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.57
	2.67	1.41	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.55	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 (2.6)	1.45 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
35.8%

Benjamin Bonzi
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Daniil Glinka - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 170. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 131.

Recent performances by Glinka have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bonzi is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Glinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bonzi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Bonzi will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.36%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
12.02.26	Daniil Glinka - Alexander Shevchenko	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Mark Lajal - Daniil Glinka	Lajal M. retired ✺
01.02.26	Chris Rodesch - Daniil Glinka	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Daniil Glinka - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1 ✺
30.01.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 L?LWW
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Raphael Collignon - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Leandro Riedi	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWWW

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