Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2.75	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.22)	1.45 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
34.7%

Jacob Fearnley
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Bonzi's form might have worsened.

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jacob Fearnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jacob Fearnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 63. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 83.

Bonzi is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Fearnley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fearnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fearnley will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
11.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Jenson Brooksby	1:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Marseille
11.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Benjamin Bonzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Miami
18.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Thijs Boogaard	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWL

Benjamin Bonzi - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide