Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday


	Nuno Borges		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.55	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.24
	1.73	2.06	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.52	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	2.21 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuno Borges
57.7%

Jacob Fearnley
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Nuno Borges - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Nuno Borges will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Borges is ranked ATP: 36. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 81.

Two players are playing changeable.

Borges could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Arthur Fils - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.25	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
12.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - James Duckworth	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Lukas Klein	0:2 ✺
20.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
18.02.25	Jacob Fearnley - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWW

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