Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday


	Dusan Lajovic		Benjamin Bonzi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.60	1.45
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.7	1.49
	2.93	1.38
	2.65	1.47	Watch
	2.66	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.26)	1.44 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
34.9%

Benjamin Bonzi
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dusan Lajovic's form might have worsened.

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Benjamin Bonzi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benjamin Bonzi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Dusan Lajovic - Benjamin Bonzi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bonzi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bonzi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 149. Bonzi is ranked ATP: 103.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lajovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Bonzi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lajovic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Dusan Lajovic - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Benjamin Bonzi - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.14%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
08.08.26	Edas Butvilas - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Abedallah Shelbayh - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Lloyd Harris - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	James McCabe - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
ATP Washington
25.07.26	Cruz Hewitt - Dusan Lajovic	Lajovic D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWW?
- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Montreal
03.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Yannick Hanfmann	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Blaise Bicknell	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
31.10.23	Dusan Lajovic - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
ATP Challenger
28.03.18	Dusan Lajovic - Benjamin Bonzi	2:0
19.05.17	Dusan Lajovic - Benjamin Bonzi	0:2

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