Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Benjamin Bonzi		Yannick Hanfmann

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.75	Watch
	2.03	1.79	Watch
	2.07	1.83
	2.01	1.8	Watch
	2.03	1.82
	2.02	1.82	Watch
	2	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.4)	1.8 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Bonzi
47.1%

Yannick Hanfmann
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Bonzi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benjamin Bonzi's performance.

Yannick Hanfmann has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yannick Hanfmann might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benjamin Bonzi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benjamin Bonzi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yannick Hanfmann could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Benjamin Bonzi - Yannick Hanfmann Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bonzi will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Hanfmann will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bonzi: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bonzi is ranked ATP: 101. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 45.

Bonzi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Hanfmann has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hanfmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	1:2 ✺
29.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Michael Mmoh	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Blaise Bicknell	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	Bonzi B. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWW?
- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel
24.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
23.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
22.07.26	Marco Trungelliti - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

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