Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 July 2026, Thursday


	Yannick Hanfmann		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.70	2.10
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.76	2.19
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.20	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	2.11 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yannick Hanfmann
54.9%

Sebastian Baez
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hanfmann will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Baez will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 52. Baez is ranked ATP: 56.

Hanfmann is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Baez has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hanfmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hanfmann won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Yannick Hanfmann - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Marco Trungelliti - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Lukas Neumayer - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.26	Yannick Hanfmann - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
02.07.26	Karen Khachanov - Yannick Hanfmann	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWL
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Sebastian Baez - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
17.07.26	Andrey Rublev - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
16.07.26	Jesper De Jong - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Max Dahlin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez	2:1
ATP Rio de Janeiro
13.02.22	Sebastian Baez - Yannick Hanfmann	2:1

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