Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tenerife (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday


	Benjamin Hassan		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.1	1.67
	1.95	1.75
	1.98	1.74	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.95	1.8	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
	1.98	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.54)	1.76 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benjamin Hassan
47.1%

Rei Sakamoto
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benjamin Hassan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benjamin Hassan's form might have worsened.

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rei Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benjamin Hassan than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benjamin Hassan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Benjamin Hassan - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Hassan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sakamoto: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hassan is ranked ATP: 231. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 364.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sakamoto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benjamin Hassan
Davis Cup World Group I
01.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Gonzalo Bueno	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Benjamin Hassan - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.01.25	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
08.01.25	Aziz Dougaz - Benjamin Hassan	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Nicolas Mejia - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?LLLW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Australian Open
06.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Tristan Boyer	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gregoire Barrere	1:2 ✺
01.01.25	Rei Sakamoto - Gianluca Mager	Mager G. retired ✺
31.12.24	Clement Chidekh - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Marat Sharipov - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LL?WW

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