Match Info

Date: 7 October 2021, Thursday


	Benoit Paire		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.2	1.35	Watch
	3.05	1.35
	3.23	1.4
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.79)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
29.5%

Francis Tiafoe
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	0%	76.9%

Benoit Paire - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Paire will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 60.7% – 93.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiafoe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Sofia
30.09.21	James Duckworth - Benoit Paire	2:0 ✺
27.09.21	Benoit Paire - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
21.09.21	Benoit Paire - Egor Gerasimov	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.21	Dusan Lajovic - Benoit Paire	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
25.08.21	Benoit Paire - Emil Ruusuvuori	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
05.09.21	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:3 ✺
03.09.21	Andrey Rublev - Francis Tiafoe	2:3 ✺
01.09.21	Francis Tiafoe - Guido Pella	3:0 ✺
30.08.21	Francis Tiafoe - Christopher Eubanks	3:1 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
26.08.21	Mikael Ymer - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Shanghai
09.10.17	Benoit Paire - Francis Tiafoe	0:2

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