Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: OLBIA (ITALY), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 17 October 2023, Tuesday


	Benoit Paire		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.85	1.36
	2.9	1.38	Watch
	2.95	1.38
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.33	Watch
	2.85	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.46)	1.36 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benoit Paire
31.6%

Mattia Bellucci
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benoit Paire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benoit Paire's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benoit Paire than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Benoit Paire - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Paire is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bellucci is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Paire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bellucci is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Bellucci to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benoit Paire
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Benoit Paire	Martinez P. retired ✺
04.10.23	Benoit Paire - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Benoit Paire - Daniel Cukierman	2:0 ✺
28.09.23	Benjamin Bonzi - Benoit Paire	2:1 ✺
26.09.23	Kyrian Jacquet - Benoit Paire	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
15.10.23	Ugo Blanchet - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Emilio Nava - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.10.23	Andrea Vavassori - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWW

Benoit Paire - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide