Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Brisbane - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Pablo Carreno-Busta		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
			Watch
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.88)	1.99 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pablo Carreno-Busta
53.2%

Mattia Bellucci
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mattia Bellucci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pablo Carreno Busta - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 76.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carreno Busta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 41% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pablo Carreno-Busta
Davis Cup World Group
23.11.25	Matteo Berrettini - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
22.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Luca Van Assche	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Martin Landaluce	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Paris
25.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
18.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
13.10.25	Marcos Giron - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Mattia Bellucci - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.10.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	0:2

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