Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MALAGA (SPAIN), HARD - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Emilio Nava		Mattia Bellucci

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.4	1.52
	2.53	1.56
	2.5	1.5
	2.88	1.39	Watch
	2.42	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.05)	1.5 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
37.5%

Mattia Bellucci
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emilio Nava's form might have worsened.

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mattia Bellucci's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emilio Nava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Emilio Nava - Mattia Bellucci Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Bellucci will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Bellucci to win the game is with odds 1.59.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nava won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Emilio Nava - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
12.10.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Emilio Nava - Raul Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
04.10.23	Constant Lestienne - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Diego Augusto Barreto Sanchez - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
13.10.23	Andrea Vavassori - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
12.10.23	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
05.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Emilio Nava - Mattia Bellucci	2:1

Emilio Nava - Mattia Bellucci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide