Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MALAGA (SPAIN), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 10 October 2023, Tuesday


	Mattia Bellucci		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.7	2.05	Watch
	1.74	2.15
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.88	Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.87)	1.98 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
52.8%

Roberto Carballes Baena
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Roberto Carballes Baena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Carballes Baena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
05.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Elias Ymer	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Mattia Bellucci - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
27.09.23	David Goffin - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
25.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Jules Marie	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Mattia Bellucci - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Shanghai
05.10.23	Aleksandar Vukic - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Astana
28.09.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
12.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Vit Kopriva	Canceled
09.09.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLL?W

Mattia Bellucci - Roberto Carballes Baena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide