Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday


	Bernard Tomic		Jake Delaney

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.60
	1.27	3.60	Watch
	1.2	4.09	Watch
	1.24	4.15
	1.25	3.57	Watch
	1.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.37)	3.72 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
74.8%

Jake Delaney
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jake Delaney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jake Delaney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bernard Tomic - Jake Delaney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 185. Delaney is ranked ATP: 351.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tomic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tomic is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
15.09.26	Jake Delaney - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Koki Matsuda - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Jake Delaney - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLL

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