Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday


	Hayato Matsuoka		Jake Delaney

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.00
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.35
	1.3	3.19	Watch
	1.32	3.25
	1.3	3.21	Watch
	1.32	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.32)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hayato Matsuoka
70.6%

Jake Delaney
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hayato Matsuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jake Delaney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hayato Matsuoka than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jake Delaney than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuoka is ranked ATP: 255. Delaney is ranked ATP: 365.

Matsuoka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Delaney has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Delaney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Matsuoka is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Matsuoka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hayato Matsuoka
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Enzo Aguiard - Hayato Matsuoka	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Aziz Dougaz - Hayato Matsuoka	1:2 ✺
15.08.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Fajing Sun - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
12.08.26	Takuya Kumasaka - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Jake Delaney
ATP Challenger
01.09.26	Koki Matsuda - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Jake Delaney - Hyeon Chung	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Moerani Bouzige - Jake Delaney	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Scott Jones - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Jeremy Zhang - Jake Delaney	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.02.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Jake Delaney	2:0
13.11.25	Jake Delaney - Hayato Matsuoka	0:2

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