Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Bernard Tomic		Ilya Ivashka

	1	2
	2.10	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.62
	2.16	1.66	Watch
	2.32	1.66
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.64
	2.15	1.63	Watch
	2.07	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)	1.65 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
43.1%

Ilya Ivashka
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilya Ivashka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 179. Ivashka is ranked ATP: 393.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ivashka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 61% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Akira Santillan	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Kasidit Samrej	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Lloyd Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Andre Ilagan	Ilagan A. Walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWL?
- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yu Hsiou Hsu	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Ilia Simakin - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Akira Santillan - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Ilya Ivashka - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Joel Schwaerzler - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Newport
15.07.19	Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka	0:2

Bernard Tomic - Ilya Ivashka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide