Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Bernard Tomic		Timofey Skatov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	2.00
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.72	2.08	Watch
	1.71	2.07
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.74	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.55)	2.03 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
54%

Timofey Skatov
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Bernard Tomic - Timofey Skatov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Skatov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 185., and Skatov is ranked ATP: 210..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tomic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Bernard Tomic - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 60.26%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Timofey Skatov - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Terence Atmane - Bernard Tomic	Atmane T. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.26	Bernard Tomic - Mattia Bellucci	Bellucci M. win ✺
01.10.26	Yuta Shimizu - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
29.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 ??WWL
- Timofey Skatov
ATP Shanghai
05.10.26	Timofey Skatov - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLL

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