Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jingshan, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday


	Yuta Shimizu		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	2.20	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	1.70	2.15
	1.37	2.76	Watch
	2.24	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.09)	1.83 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 27.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuta Shimizu
47%

Bernard Tomic
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Yuta Shimizu - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tomic will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shimizu is ranked ATP: 395., and Tomic is ranked ATP: 184..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tomic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Tomic is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Shimizu has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Yuta Shimizu - Philip Sekulic	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Arthur Weber - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Hiroki Moriya - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	Kasidit Samrej - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLWW
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	2:1 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
23.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
22.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Rigele Te	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Bernard Tomic - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.05.26	Yuta Shimizu - Bernard Tomic	1:2
30.05.24	Bernard Tomic - Yuta Shimizu	Tomic B. retired

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