Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Timofey Skatov		Stefanos Sakellaridis

	1	2
			Watch
	2.54	1.48
	2.5	1.47	Watch
	2.51	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.49
	2.47	1.48	Watch
	2.55	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.66)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
37.1%

Stefanos Sakellaridis
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Stefanos Sakellaridis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Sakellaridis than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Sakellaridis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofey Skatov - Stefanos Sakellaridis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 204., and Sakellaridis is ranked ATP: 134..

In recent outings, Skatov has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sakellaridis is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Skatov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Sakellaridis holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Sakellaridis - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.88%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
Davis Cup World Group II
19.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Maximus Jones	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Timofey Skatov - Yanki Erel	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLW
- Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Norbert Gombos - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Alex Molcan - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.09.26	Laslo Djere - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Stefanos Sakellaridis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLLW

Timofey Skatov - Stefanos Sakellaridis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide