Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday


	Timofey Skatov		Yanki Erel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.65	2.1
	1.73	2.15
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.55	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.1)	2.12 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timofey Skatov
56.2%

Yanki Erel
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Timofey Skatov's performance.

Yanki Erel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanki Erel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Timofey Skatov that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanki Erel than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanki Erel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Timofey Skatov - Yanki Erel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Skatov is ranked ATP: 205. Erel is ranked ATP: 305.

Recent form of Skatov has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Erel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Erel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Skatov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timofey Skatov
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Timofey Skatov - Gilles Arnaud Bailly	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Gauthier Onclin - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Alex Barrena - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLLL
- Yanki Erel
ITF Tournaments
04.09.26	Yanki Erel - Ryuki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
03.09.26	Yanki Erel - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Yanki Erel - Yuto Oki	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Yanki Erel - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Yanki Erel - Luca Castelnuovo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWWL

Timofey Skatov - Yanki Erel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide