Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: COLUMBUS (USA) - QUALIFICATION, HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 18 September 2023, Monday


	Bernard Tomic		Toby Samuel

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42	Watch
	2.64	1.45
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (1.84)	1.44 ↓ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
35.7%

Toby Samuel
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bernard Tomic's form might have worsened.

Toby Samuel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toby Samuel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bernard Tomic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toby Samuel than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toby Samuel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Tomic could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Samuel will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Bernard Tomic - Calum Puttergill	2:0 ✺
14.09.23	Pedro Vives Marcos - Bernard Tomic	2:0 ✺
12.09.23	Bernard Tomic - Ryan Peniston	Canceled ✺
07.09.23	Nick Hardt - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
05.09.23	Skander Mansouri - Bernard Tomic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WL?LW
- Toby Samuel
ATP Challenger
17.09.23	Bryce Nakashima - Toby Samuel	0:2 ✺
15.09.23	Zachary Svajda - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
13.09.23	Toby Samuel - Illya Marchenko	2:1 ✺
11.09.23	Brayden Schnur - Toby Samuel	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.08.23	Arthur Fery - Toby Samuel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Bernard Tomic - Toby Samuel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide