Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet 4, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 16 September 2026, Wednesday
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Blake Ellis |
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Hiroki Moriya |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.00 |
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1.72 |
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2.00 |
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1.71 |
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2.09 |
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1.77 |
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2 |
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1.72 |
Watch |
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1.27 |
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3.7 |
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1.99 |
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1.71 |
Watch |
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↓ (1.99) |
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2.06 ↑ (1.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Blake Ellis 52.1% | Hiroki Moriya 47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blake Ellis's performance.Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hiroki Moriya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+1.3%)Blake Ellis - Hiroki Moriya Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Moriya will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Ellis is ranked ATP: 477. Moriya is ranked ATP: 518.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.Moriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ellis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Hiroki Moriya - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 53.92%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ITF Tournaments | | | 04.10.24 | Hiroki Moriya - Blake Ellis | 1:2 |
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