Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Blake Ellis		Stefano Travaglia

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.05	1.74	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.09	1.76	Watch
	2.05	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	1.71 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
45.1%

Stefano Travaglia
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Ellis will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Travaglia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ellis: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stefano Travaglia will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 509. Travaglia is ranked ATP: 189.

Recent performances by Ellis have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ATP Challenger
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Blake Ellis - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
06.01.26	Blake Ellis - Andre Ilagan	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Blake Ellis	1:2 ✺
24.11.25	Pavle Marinkov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWL
- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Patrick Kypson - Stefano Travaglia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWL

Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide