Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jiujiang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Blake Ellis		Rigele Te

	1	2
	1.35	2.92
	1.36	3
	1.34	2.99
	1.49	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	2.82 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blake Ellis
67.1%

Rigele Te
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blake Ellis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Blake Ellis's performance.

Rigele Te has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rigele Te might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blake Ellis than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Blake Ellis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rigele Te than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rigele Te could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Blake Ellis - Rigele Te Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ellis is ranked ATP: 502. Te is ranked ATP: 797.

Ellis is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Te has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Te may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ellis is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blake Ellis
ITF Tournaments
24.04.26	Blake Ellis - Jie Cui	Cui J. Walkover ✺
22.04.26	Blake Ellis - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Blake Ellis	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.04.26	Li Tu - Blake Ellis	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Blake Ellis - Mikhail Kukushkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 ?WWLW
- Rigele Te
ATP Challenger
06.04.26	Fajing Sun - Rigele Te	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.03.26	Rigele Te - Karlis Ozolins	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Filip Peliwo - Rigele Te	Peliwo F. retired ✺
18.03.26	Rigele Te - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Xiaoyin Yang - Rigele Te	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 ?L?WW

Blake Ellis - Rigele Te: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide