Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 July 2023, Saturday


	Blaz Rola		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.17	1.7	Watch
	2.09	1.8
	2	1.73
	2	1.77	Watch
	2	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.83)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaz Rola
46.5%

Lukas Neumayer
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaz Rola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaz Rola than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blaz Rola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Blaz Rola - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Rola will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Neumayer will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rola in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Neumayer is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Neumayer to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaz Rola
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Blaz Rola - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
13.07.23	Blaz Rola - Vit Kopriva	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Roberto Carballes Baena - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
10.07.23	Guido Andreozzi - Blaz Rola	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Roko Horvat - Blaz Rola	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
14.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
13.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Sumit Nagal - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Christopher Romios	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLW

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