Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday


	Thiago Monteiro		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.75
	1.45	2.89
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.69	Watch
	1.42	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.33)	2.75 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Thiago Monteiro
65.8%

Lukas Neumayer
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Monteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Monteiro's form might have worsened.

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lukas Neumayer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Monteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	0%	74.2%

Thiago Monteiro - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Monteiro will win (votes: 8 - 25.8%). Neumayer will win (votes: 23 - 74.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 58.8% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monteiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Monteiro
ATP Challenger
12.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Thiago Monteiro - Oleksii Krutykh	2:1 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
05.07.23	Christopher Eubanks - Thiago Monteiro	3:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.06.23	Moez Echargui - Thiago Monteiro	2:1 ✺
27.06.23	Pol Martin Tiffon - Thiago Monteiro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
13.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
10.07.23	Sumit Nagal - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Christopher Romios	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWL

Upcoming Matches