Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SALZBURG (AUSTRIA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 13 July 2023, Thursday


	Lukas Neumayer		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	3	1.36
	2.83	1.44
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.82	1.39	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)	1.42 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
34%

Facundo Bagnis
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Bagnis will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

In this match Bagnis is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Sumit Nagal - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Christopher Romios	1:2 ✺
21.06.23	Lukas Neumayer - Mykyta Mashtakov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.23	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
13.06.23	Damir Dzumhur - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
10.07.23	Maximilian Neuchrist - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
07.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
06.06.23	Facundo Bagnis - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.23	Facundo Bagnis - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL

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