Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Oeiras 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Borna Gojo		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.58	2.23
	1.62	2.16
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.66)	2.19 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borna Gojo
57.7%

Rei Sakamoto
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borna Gojo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borna Gojo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Borna Gojo - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: Borna Gojo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gojo is ranked ATP: 138. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 165.

Gojo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gojo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Rei Sakamoto - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.29%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borna Gojo
ATP Challenger
28.03.26	Borna Gojo - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Borna Gojo - Nicolas Mejia	2:0 ✺
26.03.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
23.03.26	Mitchell Krueger - Borna Gojo	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Borna Gojo - Pavel Kotov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
08.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Amine Jamji - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
21.03.26	Rei Sakamoto - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWL

Borna Gojo - Rei Sakamoto