Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Marco Trungelliti		Rei Sakamoto

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.70	1.45
	2.60	1.50	Watch
	2.83	1.41	Watch
	2.85	1.45
	2.78	1.46	Watch
	2.80	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.55)	1.45 ↓ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
34.5%

Rei Sakamoto
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Rei Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marco Trungelliti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rei Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 90., and Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 137..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Trungelliti could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sakamoto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Trungelliti has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Marco Trungelliti - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Martin Landaluce - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.09.26	Thiago Monteiro - Marco Trungelliti	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marco Trungelliti	0:2 ✺
17.09.26	Filip Pieczonka - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Rei Sakamoto
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Rei Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
05.10.26	Seong Chan Hong - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Rei Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	James Watt - Rei Sakamoto	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Anton Shepp - Rei Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWL?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0

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