Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 January 2026, Thursday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.49	Watch
	2.78	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.64	1.51	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.66)	1.48 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
36%

Alexander Bublik
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 75. Bublik is ranked ATP: 11.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Van De Zandschulp won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Bublik - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 65.15%, but this team recently wins 90% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Hong Kong
06.01.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Athens
03.11.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Jenson Brooksby - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
23.10.25	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Metz
05.11.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
ATP Paris
01.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
30.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
29.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Kitzbuhel
25.07.25	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0
ATP Basel
22.10.24	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. retired
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.22	Alexander Bublik - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2

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