Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Corentin Moutet		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.6	Watch
	2.41	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.38	1.61	Watch
	2.26	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corentin Moutet
40.4%

Alexander Bublik
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

61.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Alexander Bublik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.7%	0%	79.3%

Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Moutet (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Bublik (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Bublik will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Moutet (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Bublik (votes: 17 - 94.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moutet is ranked ATP: 32. Bublik is ranked ATP: 16.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Bublik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Bublik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moutet won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Corentin Moutet - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corentin Moutet
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Reilly Opelka	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Corentin Moutet	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
19.10.25	Corentin Moutet - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWL
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
24.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Valentin Vacherot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2
ATP Florence
12.10.22	Alexander Bublik - Corentin Moutet	2:0
ATP Challenger
07.11.17	Alexander Bublik - Corentin Moutet	2:0

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