Match Info

Date: 8 February 2021, Monday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.2	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.67	Watch
	2.17	1.7
	2.1	1.69
	2.2	1.76
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.24	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)	1.69 (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
43.7%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.6%	0%	82.4%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (112 of 136 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.94% – 88.76%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Van De Zandschulp could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
05.02.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
04.02.21	Reilly Opelka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
02.02.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Tristan Schoolkate	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Melbourne Great Ocean Road Open
04.02.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
03.02.21	David Goffin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
01.02.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Attila Balazs	Balazs A. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.21	Hugo Dellien - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
12.01.21	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LW?WW

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