Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
			Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.57	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.35
	1.65	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	2.25 ↓ (2.42)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
58.4%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botic Van De Zandschulp, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Van De Zandschulp: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botic Van De Zandschulp will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 88. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 126.

Two players are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Van De Zandschulp won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Botic Van De Zandschulp - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 61.11%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Moise Kouame	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Ben Shelton	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Learner Tien - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Max Hans Rehberg - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Valentin Royer - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
14.08.21	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
14.05.21	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1

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