Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Valentin Royer		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.74	2.13
	1.68	2.13	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.83)	2.15 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
56.6%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Valentin Royer - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Royer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Royer is ranked ATP: 115. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 127.

Royer is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cerundolo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cerundolo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Royer will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Royer - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
12.04.25	Valentin Royer - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
11.04.25	Zsombor Piros - Valentin Royer	Piros Z. retired ✺
09.04.25	August Holmgren - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Valentin Royer	Canceled ✺
05.04.25	Valentin Royer - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 L?W?L
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	2:0 ✺
ATP Marrakech
01.04.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL

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