Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday


	Botic Van De Zandschulp		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.55	1.51	Watch
	2.4	1.56
	2.50	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.49	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.12)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp
38.4%

Nicolas Jarry
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botic Van De Zandschulp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botic Van De Zandschulp's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	6.7%	60%

Botic Van De Zandschulp - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Jarry will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jarry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 100. Jarry is ranked ATP: 96.

In recent matches, Van De Zandschulp has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jarry is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Van De Zandschulp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Jarry might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Jarry will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Botic Van De Zandschulp - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.12%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Nicolas Jarry - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.88%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Bastad
17.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Mikael Ymer - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Jan Choinski - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca	3:1 ✺
02.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien	3:0 ✺
30.06.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nicolas Jarry	2:3 ✺
26.06.25	Lukas Klein - Nicolas Jarry	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWWW

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