Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Camilo Ugo Carabelli		Botic Van De Zandschulp

	1	2
	2	1.8	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	2.01	1.78	Watch
	2.02	1.86
	2.10	1.75	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	2.02	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.72)	1.82 ↓ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
47.8%

Botic Van De Zandschulp
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.

Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botic Van De Zandschulp's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botic Van De Zandschulp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 40%). Van De Zandschulp (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 59. Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 100.

Ugo Carabelli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Van De Zandschulp has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Van De Zandschulp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.25	Marcos Giron - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
27.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Pedro Martinez Portero	1:2 ✺
26.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLLL
- Botic Van De Zandschulp
ATP Bastad
16.07.25	Mikael Ymer - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Jan Choinski - Botic Van De Zandschulp	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

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