The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nicolas Jarry 56.7%
Learner Tien 43.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.5%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
34.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.
Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Learner Tien's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Learner Tien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
0%
54.5%
Nicolas Jarry - Learner Tien Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Tien will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Jarry: 19% – 81%.